Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.004982 0.005255 0.005537 0.005850 0.006189 0.006545 0.006949
2025-12-07 0.004466 0.004858 0.005282 0.005774 0.006335 0.006956 0.007701
2025-12-14 0.004176 0.004636 0.005148 0.005764 0.006489 0.007324 0.008367
2025-12-21 0.003855 0.004344 0.004899 0.005582 0.006408 0.007388 0.008652
2025-12-28 0.003698 0.004224 0.004833 0.005599 0.006549 0.007708 0.009253
2026-01-04 0.003590 0.004151 0.004813 0.005663 0.006742 0.008093 0.009952
2026-01-11 0.003446 0.004024 0.004717 0.005622 0.006794 0.008294 0.010416
2026-01-18 0.003331 0.003927 0.004651 0.005610 0.006878 0.008535 0.010942
2026-01-25 0.003212 0.003818 0.004562 0.005563 0.006907 0.008700 0.011366
2026-02-01 0.003172 0.003804 0.004592 0.005669 0.007144 0.009156 0.012236
2026-02-08 0.003081 0.003722 0.004529 0.005647 0.007201 0.009361 0.012746
2026-02-15 0.003004 0.003654 0.004482 0.005642 0.007279 0.009598 0.013318
2026-02-22 0.002898 0.003545 0.004377 0.005555 0.007239 0.009662 0.013629
2026-03-01 0.002804 0.003450 0.004286 0.005484 0.007217 0.009751 0.013987
2026-03-08 0.002740 0.003391 0.004242 0.005474 0.007283 0.009973 0.014573
2026-03-15 0.002621 0.003256 0.004089 0.005305 0.007104 0.009808 0.014499
2026-03-22 0.002575 0.003216 0.004067 0.005320 0.007201 0.010077 0.015182
2026-03-29 0.002546 0.003200 0.004076 0.005380 0.007366 0.010460 0.016096
2026-04-05 0.002487 0.003140 0.004019 0.005342 0.007378 0.010596 0.016575
2026-04-12 0.002439 0.003094 0.003983 0.005331 0.007432 0.010801 0.017197
2026-04-19 0.002383 0.003035 0.003926 0.005287 0.007429 0.010911 0.017646
2026-04-26 0.002375 0.003043 0.003963 0.005386 0.007660 0.011430 0.018934
2026-05-03 0.002330 0.002997 0.003923 0.005365 0.007694 0.011609 0.019561